Summer heat will ‘likely’ be above normal in Fort Worth. Here’s what that means
Summer is nearly here in North Texas, which means one thing — it’s going to be hot.
Dallas-Fort Worth has yet to reach 100 degrees thus far this year, but there have been a few days with temperatures in the 90s. As of May 21, the warmest temperature recorded this year is 94 degrees on both May 13 and 14.
On average, North Texas doesn’t record its first 100-degree day until July 1. However, triple digits have certainly been recorded earlier in the year, including last year on June 23, according to the National Weather Service Fort Worth.
While there’s still a few weeks from the first official day of summer (June 20), just how hot will it be in North Texas over the next few months? Let’s take a look.
What is the summer heat outlook for North Texas?
The current three-month seasonal outlook for the Metroplex is predicting that temperatures will be “likely above” normal from June through August.
In its May 15 update, Climate Prediction Center models show that much of the state, minus southwest Texas, will also see temperatures “likely above” normal. On the other hand, above normal temperatures are predicted for areas in southwest Texas.
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However, above normal temperatures doesn’t always equate to extreme heat, according to the NWS. Instead, above normal could simply mean temperatures are a few degrees above the normal parameters.
Per the NWS, the normal high temperatures for the next few months are:
- June- 91.5 degrees
- July- 95.6 degrees
- August- 95.8 degrees
How much rain will North Texas have this summer?
North Texas is split between having equal chances and “leaning below” normal for precipitation from June through August.
The Climate Prediction Center’s three-month seasonal precipitation outlook shows half of the region having equal chances of rain, while the other half shows “leaning below” normal. Similar split conditions are expected across much of the state, with the Panhandle and West Texas shown “leaning below” normal.
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Again, “leaning below” does not mean North Texas will be bone-dry this summer. Instead, it could mean that precipitation is leaning below what the average total is.
Per the NWS, the normal precipitation totals for the next few months are:
- June- 3.7 inches
- July- 2.08 inches
- August- 2.18 inches
What does the Old Farmer’s Almanac say about this summer?
For those looking for another source of what to expect this summer, the Old Farmer’s Almanac is also showing above normal temperatures for North Texas.
Texas and Oklahoma could see temperatures 4 degrees above normal, according to the almanac’s summer outlook published in April. Most of the country, expect for the Northwest and southern Florida, are also showing “hotter-than-normal temperatures.”
As for precipitation, the almanac is predicting that rainfall across much of the country will range from near to slightly below normal.
“The driest conditions are expected in Texas, Oklahoma, and the Great Plains, where rainfall is likely to be lower than typical for these regions,” the almanac read.
This story was originally published May 21, 2025 at 8:39 AM.
