How warm will spring be in North Texas? Here’s what the forecast shows

As winter winds down in North Texas, predictions for spring weather are here.

Despite a few especially chill days, temperatures have stayed mostly above normal in the region over the winter months, according to climate data from the National Weather Service Fort Worth. On the flip side, precipitation totals have been below normal.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac and Farmers’ Almanac (separate entities) have both released spring weather forecasts for March through May.

Here’s a look at what to expect.

The Farmers’ Almanac spring forecast

While Texas is not specifically named in the outlook, the Lone Star state is part of the South Central region of the country.

The outlook for that region predicts mild temperatures for spring, according to the Farmers’ Almanac. For precipitation, the region can expect a wet spring, which may support strong pasture growth.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac spring forecast

It will be a warm and wet spring for North Texas, per the Old Farmer’s Almanac.

The forecast outlook states that April will bring warmer temperatures to the region, while May will cool off slightly. Temperatures in April are expected to be around 5 degrees above average and 2 degrees below average in May.

As for precipitation, rainfall will be above normal for the spring months.

How does the NOAA forecast for spring compare?

Temperatures in Texas are leaning above normal for the spring months, according to an outlook from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center.

The outlook, issued on Jan. 15, is a month and a half prediction valid from March through May. There is a 40-50% chance for above normal temperatures for the Metroplex and much of the state over the season.

In North Texas, the normal high for March is 68.6 degrees, 76.1 degrees in April and 83.6 degrees in May.

Above normal temperatures do not always equate to extreme heat, according to NOAA. Instead, above normal could simply mean temperatures are a few degrees above the normal parameters.

Precipitation-wise, the CPC’s outlook is predicting “equal chances” for rainfall over the winter months.

When forecasters use “equal chances,” it means they think an area has three possible outcomes — well above, well below, or near normal — that are all equally likely, according to the CPC. Or, sometimes it means that there are no strong influences that would favor one outcome over another.

In North Texas, the normal precipitation total for March is 3.30 inches, 3.22 inches in April and 4.78 inches in May.

While this is a snapshot of how things are expected to look in the future, a one-month outlook and subsequent weeks’ and days’ forecast will give a better look at what to expect as the date grows near, according to the NWS.

Brayden Garcia

Fort Worth Star-Telegram

Brayden Garcia is a service journalism reporter at the Fort Worth Star-Telegram. He is part of a team of local journalists who answer reader questions and write about life in North Texas. Brayden mainly writes about weather and all things Taylor Sheridan-related.