Will Dallas-Fort Worth be freezing this winter? What the National Weather Service predicts
It’s October; no one wants to put up with the 90-degree heat anymore.
Unfortunately, the winter outlook appears to predict the warm weather lingering a bit longer and normal.
While the weather eventually will shift from hot temperatures, the National Weather Service is predicting above average temperatures.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s annual report, the average high temperature in October is 78 degrees, and the average low temperature is 57 degrees. In October 2024, Fort Worth’s average temperature has been 75 degrees thus far, already leaning towards that higher average.
“Warmer-than-average temperatures are favored from the southern tier of the U.S. to the eastern Great Lakes, eastern seaboard, New England, and northern Alaska,” says NOAA in their U.S. winter outlook, “These probabilities are strongest along the Gulf Coast and for most of Texas.”
The Dallas Fort Worth winter forecast outlook
The Old Farmer’s Almanac is predicting a “temperate, uneventful winter.” For North Texas, warmer winter weather is predicted, with the coldest temperatures in January and February.
NOAA predicts similarly for November, December and January, with 50 to 60 percent chance of “likely above” normal temperatures in the El Paso region. The rest of Texas is predicted to have a 40 to 50 percent chance of “leaning above” normal winter temperatures.
These warm predictions also bring below-average precipitation predictions. NOAA forecasts a 50 to 60 percent chance of “likely below” average precipitation levels for the greater region of south Texas. North Texas and the panhandle have a 40 to 50 percent change of “leaning below” average precipitation levels.
This also means that the chances of snow are below average. The Farmer’s Almanac predicts that if there is snowfall, the highest possibility is from early to late February.
What past DFW winters have looked like
NOAA data has shown that the past few years have been gradually warming up. Let’s examine November through February’s climate history.
November in North Texas:
2022: average of 55 degrees, high of 83 degrees, low of 30 degrees.
2023: average of 57 degrees, high of 86 degrees, low of 32 degrees.
December in North Texas:
2022: average of 50 degrees, high of 81 degrees, low of 11 degrees.
2023: average of 52 degrees, high of 80 degrees, low of 31 degrees.
January in North Texas:
2022: average of 45 degrees, high of 79 degrees, low of 19 degrees.
2023: average of 52 degrees, high of 85 degrees, low of 25 degrees.
2024: average of 43 degrees, high of 77 degrees, low of 11 degrees.
February in North Texas:
2022: average of 46 degrees, high of 85 degrees, low of 19 degrees.
2023: average of 52 degrees, high of 90 degrees, low of 28 degrees.
2024: average of 56 degrees, high of 73 degrees, low of 39 degrees.