Is this Texas summer going to be hotter than normal? Here’s what a climate study says
All signs point to a hotter than normal summer in the Lone Star State.
“The June-July-August (JJA) 2023 temperature outlook favors above normal temperatures over the western contiguous United States (CONUS), the southwest, southeast, and along the eastern seaboard to New England,” says the Climate Prediction Center in its seasonal outlook published May 18.
The largest chances of above normal temperatures, 60 to 70%, are forecast over the Southwest. And chances reach 50 to 60% along the coast from Texas to New England, according to the summer forecast.
The Climate Prediction Center projects a 50-60% chance that most of Texas will have a warmer than normal summer, meaning that temperatures will likely be above normal.
West Texas has the highest probability of warm weather, with a 60-70% chance of above normal temperatures. The northernmost parts of North Texas and the Panhandle have a 33-50% chance, making them lean above normal.
Here’s the mean temperature outlook for Summer 2023 in Dallas-Fort Worth:
- Probability of highest 10% temperatures, above 85.40 degrees: 17.2%
- Probability of above average temperatures, above 83.74 degrees: 51.6%
- Probability of near average temperatures, between 82.06 to 83.74 degrees: 33.4%
- Probability of below average temperatures, below 82.06 degrees: 14.9%
Probability of lowest 10% temperatures, below 80.40 degrees: 2.1%
