Will Mitch Marner Win The Conn Smythe If Hurricanes Win Stanley Cup?

After a historic, record-setting Game 3 performance, Mitch Marner pulled further ahead in the race to win the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy.

Entering Game 4, Marner's hockey odds to win the Conn Smythe Trophy carry an implied win probability of 67.58 percent.

If the Vegas Golden Knights win the Stanley Cup, he is pretty much a shoo-in to win the coveted award, but can the first-time finalist secure the honor if the Carolina Hurricanes come back and win it all?

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But have any of those players done enough to convince voters to overlook Marner's brilliance?

It's an emphatic no from me.

That said, we still might not be at the halfway mark of this already epic Stanley Cup final. And based on what has transpired, I'm expecting more forthcoming whacky, wild and unprecedented events.

The combatants have combined for 25 goals, averaging 8.3 per game. The most goals in a playoff series averaged 11.5, while the most in a Stanley Cup final averaged 8.

Who knows what's in store for the remainder of the series, but I have a feeling things will tighten up defensively. Then again, I also had that feeling prior to Game 3.

One thing is for sure: things can change dramatically in the blink of an eye.

But if things remain on the same trajectory, Marner has the inside track of becoming the playoff MVP regardless of who wins the Stanley Cup.

By Gary Pearson, BetMGM

The Hockey News

This story was originally published June 9, 2026 at 1:39 PM.