Keller and Northwest are the area’s fastest growing school districts, but while Keller is nearing build out, Northwest still has lots of open land zoned for future housing.
Keller now has about 34,700 students while Northwest just topped 22,000.
In a report earlier this month to Keller trustees, Bob Templeton, founder of Templeton Demographics, said the district grew by about 1.5 percent over the last year after having 1.7 percent growth in the previous year.
Templeton gave a report to the Northwest school board in August. He told them the district grew by 5.4 percent for this year and 5.8 percent last year.
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Emily Conklin, Northwest’s communications director, said the district is only 15 percent built out and could eventually have an enrollment of 90,000, making it larger than the Fort Worth school district.
While Keller is expected to grow less than 10 percent in the next decade, Northwest is expected to grow by more than 50 percent. Keller has about 3,000 vacant and future lots while Northwest has more than 27,000.
Keller covers about 50 square miles in Tarrant County while Northwest includes more than 230 square miles in three counties (Tarrant, Denton and Wise).
According to Templeton’s report, the Eagle Mountain-Saginaw district should soon bump Keller further down the list of the fast-growth districts, as it has about 20,000 potential lots.
Most of Keller’s current growth is in the new Sunset Valley Elementary zone in the southwest corner of the district, Woodland Springs Elementary zone and Ridgeview Elementary zone.
Future growth is concentrated in Liberty Elementary, Sunset Valley, Woodland Springs, Florence Elementary and Heritage Elementary zones.
The biggest subdivision currently under development is West Fork Ranch, which surrounds Sunset Valley Elementary, west of Interstate 35W, with 1,275 lots.
In the Northwest district, the fastest growing areas right now are in the Beck Elementary, Schluter Elementary, Justin Elementary, Roanoke Elementary and Cox Elementary zones.
Over the next several years, the most growth is expected in the Nance Elementary, Cox and Justin zones.
Sendera Ranch is by far the biggest development underway in the Northwest district, with more than 9.000 total lots, about 2,500 of them already occupied. The master-planned community includes areas in Thomspon Elementary and Sendera Ranch Elementary zones.
Tradition is a development expected to break ground later next year with close to 3,000 single-family lots and 300 multi-family units. McKelvey Ranch and Oak Creek Trails have about 1,000 lots each. All three would impact Hatfield Elementary.
In November 2012, voters approved a $255 million bond package that included V.R. Eaton High School, a sixth middle school, which is under construction next to Eaton, and classroom additions at Schluter Elementary.
Templeton said, “You truly are going to be growing at a strong rate for quite some time.”