Analyzing this year’s DCTF predictions

Posted Monday, Jul. 01, 2013  comments  Print Reprints

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It’s a rite of summer that when the football bible hits the newsstands, it deserves some attention in this space. Recently, Dave Campbell’s Texas Football came out with its amazing 54th edition. The first year of this coveted magazine was 1960.

It’s a keeper. If you have held on to some of the previous years’ editions and they are in mint condition, there’s no reason to think why there isn’t some value to them. The monetary value is in the eye of the beholder, but there’s no way you would want to discard them, either.

I’m a history buff, so when you pick up a random year to look at who was projected to have a big season, it summons so many memories.

For the previous eight years, your humble scribe has reviewed how the DCTF high school experts reviewed the teams in our coverage area. Like the magazine, we’re hoping that this is creating a little of its own tradition.

So let’s take a look at what they thought about 2013 with our standard action and reaction:

ACTION: Class 5A state poll rates Carroll No. 5, while the coaches poll rates Carroll No. 3.

REACTION: There’s a lot to like about the Dragons in 2013. I know everybody likes their chances each season, but with just about every important skill player returning on offense – five overall – and six defensive starters coming back, including a lot of experience in the front seven, this team has the potential to be better than the 2011 state championship team.

There really isn’t a concern surrounding new starting quarterback Ryan Agnew, since he saw a healthy amount of playing time under center and knows this offense. However, Division I Region I is going to be rough with the likes of Carroll running into Euless Trinity and DeSoto. In fact, the projected Region I championship game in Division I is DeSoto over Arlington Bowie. Good thing these things are played on paper.

ACTION: District 4-5A predictions place Carroll and Keller into the Division I playoffs, while Keller Central and Justin Northwest will go Division II.

REACTION: No Keller Fossil Ridge? The Panthers arguably have their most talented team in several years, led by defensive back Nick Foster and defensive end Anthony Villalabos. I know Bart Helsley has done great work to get the Chargers to back-to-back playoff appearances. But I like the Panthers in one of the Division II spots. Plus, quarterback Jake Gnacinski had to learn under fire when Sheldon Neuse opted not to play at the last minute. Carroll is a no-brainer. Bill Patterson is building a solid program at Northwest. Keller is going to be the surprise team in our area.

ACTION: Class 6-5A predictions place Colleyville Heritage into the Division II playoffs, while Grapevine is projected to miss.

REACTION: When you have Euless Trinity and Irving MacArthur returning 12 and seven starters respectively and Hurst L.D. Bell – minus speedster Ryan Newsome – returning nine, it really seems hard to see where the Mustangs can make a dent. Coach Dave Henigan has to find a new quarterback, new running back and must create some overall strength along the offensive and defensive lines. It’s a big job.

Colleyville Heritage should be in pretty good shape to make a return as long as quarterback Griffin Pickler does what’s expected. There’s enough talent on the defense. The Panthers likely won’t be as good as the 2012 10-2 squad, but they will be a playoff team.

ACTION: District 5-4A predictions place Byron Nelson in the Division I playoffs.

REACTION: This is arguably the best Class 4A district in the state, with defending Division I champion Denton Guyer along with Division II Region I semifinalist Wichita Falls Rider returning key players from those teams. Remember, Nelson has to open the district season against Rider, perennial playoff team Lake Dallas and Guyer, in that order. However, the Rider and Guyer games will be at home. Nelson’s chances will depend on if it can get the quarterback situation stabilized in fall workouts. Games against Azle and Lake Dallas will determine their playoff fate. The Bobcats should return to the postseason after a near-miss in 2012. But the margin for advancing and missing is very thin.

Keep Aug. 12 circled. That’s the day all nine of our teams start preparing for 2013. All of them went through spring workouts, so they cannot start on Aug. 5.

So it’s early July and if you are starving for football, you’re just going to have to hang in there. Hopefully, the magazine helped with the withdrawal.

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