FORT WORTH -- Romantics who like "S" words for their holidays -- snow, Santa and sleigh bells -- may see some of the first on Saturday.But if you're dreaming of a white Christmas, sorry.A preliminary forecast calls for a 30 percent chance of snow Saturday but none Sunday, Jason Dunn, a National Weather Service meteorologist, said Wednesday night.And, he said, "Saturday's not going to be a real big deal."There's just a chance for a mix of rain and snow in the forecast for most of Tarrant County, with a light dusting of snow -- less than a half-inch -- possible west of the Metroplex.Wednesday -- the first day of winter -- was relatively mild. The high was 55, about average for the date.But a cold front is expected to arrive midafternoon Thursday."It will progressively get colder," Dunn said. The high may reach the lower 60s, but once the front moves in, temperatures will begin a descent, bottoming out in the the upper 30s Friday morning.Friday will be "cloudy and gloomy" with a high in the mid 40s, he said.An upper-level disturbance will march into the area Friday night and may bring snow, Dunn said."In the city, it will probably be too warm to accumulate," he said. "The snow will melt as soon as it hits the ground."On Christmas Day, travelers can expect dry weather."The system will have moved by us already by Christmas Day," Dunn said.Saturday won't be as memorable as Christmas Eve 2009, when blizzard-like conditions blanketed Tarrant County under 2 to 4 inches of snow."It was a pretty nasty storm," Dunn said.Marty Sabota, 817-390-7367
The earliest recorded white Christmas in North Texas was in 1841, when soldiers reported tracking a bear in 6 inches of snow in what is now Dallas. You can find more winter weather history at www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd, the National Weather Service's Fort Worth-Dallas website. Click on "White Christmas climatology."