PerryScope: Tracking Rick Perry's political ponderings

Posted Sunday, Jul. 17, 2011

Tracking the actions and travels of Gov. Rick Perry as he ponders joining the race for the Republican presidential nomination. An announcement is expected within weeks.

Is he or isn't he?

Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad says he thinks Perry is very likely to enter the race, citing a conversation the two governors had Friday. Branstad told The Associated Press that Perry says his family is encouraging him to run. Another indication is that Perry has spent almost $1 million in state campaign funds since the beginning of the year to travel the nation as he explores formally launching a campaign.

On the trail

Perry had no known out-of-state travel last week, but he's scheduled to go to California and Colorado this week.

What the polls show

Perry made a solid debut in a new national poll from Quinnipiac University. Mitt Romney kept his lead, with the backing of 25 percent of the respondents in the survey of 2,311 voters from July 5 to July 11. Michele Bachmann was second at 14 percent, followed by the two most popular noncandidates at this point: Sarah Palin at 12 percent and Perry at 10 percent. It was the first time the Connecticut university included Perry in its poll.

The Texan who is formally in the GOP race, Rep. Ron Paul of Lake Jackson, trailed with 5 percent in the poll, which has a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points.

An American Research Group poll of 600 likely Republican caucusgoers in Iowa ranked Perry near the back of the pack, with 2 percent support. Bachmann took the lead spot with 21 percent. The telephone poll was conducted from July 5 to July 11 and has a margin of error of 4 percentage points.

John Gravois and Aman Batheja contributed to this report, which includes material from The Associated Press and The Texas Tribune.

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